A place where economics, financial markets, and real estate intersect.

Friday, March 22, 2013

Morning Report - Phoenix Phannie

Vital Statistics:

Last Change Percent
S&P Futures  1542.1 3.0 0.19%
Eurostoxx Index 2683.9 -0.1 0.00%
Oil (WTI) 92.88 0.4 0.47%
LIBOR 0.285 0.001 0.18%
US Dollar Index (DXY) 82.58 -0.164 -0.20%
10 Year Govt Bond Yield 1.92% 0.01%  
RPX Composite Real Estate Index 191.2 -0.6  

Markets are higher this morning after luxury retailer Tiffany reported better than expected earnings, and Cyprus moves towards a resolution. There are no economic releases this morning. Bonds and MBS are up small.

Existing Home sales rose.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.98MM, a 10% annual increase, according to the National Association of Realtors. Some stats from the release:

  • The median house price rose 11.6% to $173,600
  • Distressed sales accounted for 25% of all sales
  • Professional investors purchased 22% of all homes
  • The first time homebuyer accounted for 30%
  • Short sale haircuts were 15%, while foreclosure haircuts were 18%
  • Time on market fell 24% to 74 days
  • Cash-only transactions were 1/3 of all transactions.
Chart:  Existing Home Sales.  Approaching normalcy:


One feature of the financials lately has been the resurrection of many stocks given up for dead.  The first one was Impac, which is up 5-fold since August of last year. Then came Radian. Well, guess who is back? Fannie Mae (FNMA), who is up 3-fold since last week when it delayed filing its 10-K and said it expects to post a profit. Also, the "Jumpstart GSE Reform Act" was introduced at the same time, which would require Congressional approval for the government to unload its Fannie Stock. I am hearing that there is action in the Fannie prefs as well. Yes, it is up on volume, too - 94MM shares traded yesterday.


You are seeing the same action in Freddie Mac stock as well - FMCC.



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