Last | Change | Percent | |
S&P Futures | 1378.8 | 8.7 | 0.63% |
Eurostoxx Index | 2319.8 | 35.8 | 1.57% |
Oil (WTI) | 104.4 | 0.8 | 0.77% |
LIBOR | 0.466 | 0.000 | 0.00% |
US Dollar Index (DXY) | 79.16 | -0.068 | -0.09% |
10 Year Govt Bond Yield | 1.99% | 0.01% | |
RPX Composite Real Estate Index | 173.5 | -0.3 |
Markets are higher this morning on Apple's earnings. Hard to believe a half-a-trillion dollar company could move up 10% in a day, but there you go. Bonds and MBS are lower as we await the FOMC decision this afternoon. No one anticipates a change in policy, but the market will focus on clues about QEIII.
Speaking of the Fed, Krugman has some advice for Ben Bernake. Hint: He's not doing enough.
Durable Goods orders fell 4.2% YOY in March, the biggest drop in 3 years. Ex transportation, they fell 1.1%. This was far below expectations. There was also a marked buildup in inventories in the last 6 months, which portends a manufacturing slowdown. There has been nothing in the economic data in the last couple of months that indicates the economy is accelerating - everything points to a deceleration. This is mainly due to overseas weakness. The UK is officially in recession, while Europe and China are slowing.
Mortgage applications fell last week after a huge jump the week before. The 10-year spent all of last week below 2%, so maybe the refi activity is starting to dry up - meaning everyone who can refi at 3.75% has already done so.
Lender Processing Services has released its first look for March foreclosures and delinquencies. The total US loan delinquency rate is just over 7%, which is down almost 9% YOY. The number of properties in foreclosure totaled 2.06MM, the number 90D+ was 1.6MM and 30D+ was 3.5MM, for a total of 5.6MM delinquent. The full report will be released on May 1.
FWIW, Mark Zandi thinks the bottom in real estate is in. Bob Schiller isn't so sure.
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