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Friday, December 11, 2015

Morning Report: Stocks remain under pressure as oil continues to fall

Vital Statistics:

Last Change Percent
S&P Futures  2049.3 7.2 0.35%
Eurostoxx Index 3219.9 -50.0 -1.53%
Oil (WTI) 36.48 -0.3 -0.76%
LIBOR 0.492 0.006 1.13%
US Dollar Index (DXY) 97.77 -0.165 -0.17%
10 Year Govt Bond Yield 2.17% -0.06%
Current Coupon Ginnie Mae TBA 104.4
Current Coupon Fannie Mae TBA 103.4
BankRate 30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage 3.93

Stocks are lower this morning on emerging market weakness and oil. Bonds and MBS are up.

Retail Sales rose 0.2% in November, lower than expectations. Ex food, energy and building materials, they rose 0.6%, better than expectations. 

Inflation at the wholesale level remains under control as the producer price index rose 0.3% in November. Ex food and energy and trade services it was up 0.1%. 

Morgan Stanley is warning investors that the world's central banks could succeed in creating inflation. Markets are definitely priced right now as if inflation is never ever coming back. We could see another bond sell-off like the "taper tantrum" of 2013. IMO, until we start seeing wage inflation we don't have anything to worry about on that front. 

Zero down-payment jumbo loans are back. Up to 2 million, provided you live and work in San Francisco

The House Financial Services Committee has picked up on the CFPB suing firms on discrimination using bogus data.

The MR will be spotty next week as I will be on the Left Coast

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