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Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Morning Report - Housing Starts top 1.2 million

Vital Statistics:

Last Change Percent
S&P Futures  2096.9 -2.4 -0.11%
Eurostoxx Index 3501.8 3.9 0.11%
Oil (WTI) 41.79 -0.1 -0.19%
LIBOR 0.324 0.004 1.23%
US Dollar Index (DXY) 97.01 0.202 0.21%
10 Year Govt Bond Yield 2.19% 0.02%
Current Coupon Ginnie Mae TBA 104 -0.1
Current Coupon Fannie Mae TBA 103.5 0.0
BankRate 30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage 4

Stocks are lower this morning after WalMart earnings disappoint. Bonds and MBS are down small

Housing Starts were more or less flat in July at just over 1.2 million. June was revised higher. Multi-fam starts dropped while single family rose. Building Permits fell however from 1.33 million to 1.12 million. Multi-family permits accounted for almost all of the drop. Goldman took up their Q3 GDP tracking estimate from 2.2% to 2.4% on the number. 

Speaking of housing, the Home Despot reported better than expected earnings this morning as well. An improving housing market is encouraging people to spend on renovations. 

PIMCO expects housing to grow at 10% for the next 2 - 3 years. Household formation is picking up, and we have simply underbuilt for a long time. 

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