A place where economics, financial markets, and real estate intersect.

Monday, October 13, 2014

Morning Report - TBAs didn't participate in the bond market rally last week.

Vital Statistics:

Last Change Percent
S&P Futures  1898.7 4.4 0.23%
Eurostoxx Index 3006.2 14.7 0.49%
Oil (WTI) 85.16 -0.7 -0.77%
LIBOR 0.23 0.001 0.39%
US Dollar Index (DXY) 85.48 -0.429 -0.50%
10 Year Govt Bond Yield 2.28% 0.00%  
Current Coupon Ginnie Mae TBA 106.7 -0.1
Current Coupon Fannie Mae TBA 105.9 3.1
BankRate 30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage 4.15

Markets are higher this morning on no real news. Bond and MBS markets are closed today for the Columbus Day Holiday.

No economic data this morning as bonds are closed. This week begins earnings season in earnest and we will hear from the biggest banks this week. Wells and Citi report tomorrow. 

Last week, we saw a big rally in the bond markets, however TBAs didn't really react all that much. This is strange considering the 10 year ended the previous week at 2.43% and went out Friday at 2.28%. The Fannie Mae TBA picked up about 13 ticks and the Ginnie Mae TBAs picked up 4 ticks - an extremely modest reaction, considered the huge jump in bond prices. Note the Bankrate 30 year fixed rate mortgage went up 15 basis points on Friday, which looks like a data error. Anyway, if borrowers are wondering why mortgage rates haven't reacted all that much to the rally, the answer is that TBAs didn't really react at all. 

More anecdotal evidence that mortgage credit is easing. Includes info on TD and Shellpoint's non QM loans. 

Edward Quince - the pseudonym for the Bernank during the financial crisis. Expect more interesting tidbits out the AIG trial. 

No comments:

Post a Comment